Author Archive

Is a 7-game series really fair?

Posted: August 16, 2010 by gwopdn in Mathematics

I know it’s better than just 1 or 2 games to determine the better team…but how reliable it is to indicate that the winning team of a 7-game series is indeed the better one? (Yup, I have a calculator with me all the time, so I can figure things out at work)

If one team can warrant a win against another 55 percent of its games, the probability for the weaker team to win a 7-game series is calculated as following:

– weaker team wins 4 games out of first 6:
wins first 4: (0.45)^4 (then the winner is determined)
loses first one, wins the next 4: (0.55)*(0.45)^4
wins from the 3rd to the 6th game: (0.55)^2 * (0.45)^4

– weaker team wins 3 games out of the first 6, and the last game:

So the weaker team can win a matchup about 4 times out of 10: ( _____) . There is a pretty good chance for the weaker team to win. To fairly determine its winner, a matchup would need far more games, number of games depending on the winning edge of a team, so that the chance for a weaker team to win a series would be 5 percent or less of the time (depending on statistical significance). In conclusion, the crowned champion in a series final is probably not actually the best team. – A well known fact. =P


Click here to take the online test – Take the test and comment with your results!!

Mr. Kdawgz mentioned this test so I did it this afternoon. (I actually did it years ago, but forgot my result.)

I turned out to be an INTJ, Rational – Mastermind. lol We both agreed that the personality type describes me very well  (A lot better than horoscope does)

INTJs are analytical problem-solvers, eager to improve systems and processes with their innovative ideas. INTJs have a talent for seeing possibilities for improvement, whether at work, at home, or in themselves. They have a hunger for knowledge and strive to constantly increase their competence; often INTJs are perfectionists with extremely high standards of performance for themselves and others. They may not want to bother with people who they do not perceive to be their intellectual equals.


Type description by D. Keirsey – describes me so incredibly well LOL

Analysis by Marina Margaret Heiss

This analysis is also accurate in many ways. I agree with almost every single word.
I really like its introduction:

To outsiders, INTJs may appear to project an aura of “definiteness”, of self-confidence. This self-confidence, sometimes mistaken for simple arrogance by the less decisive, is actually of a very specific rather than a general nature; its source lies in the specialized knowledge systems that most INTJs start building at an early age.

The following part couldn’t be more true:

Anyone considered to be “slacking,” including superiors, will lose their respect — and will generally be made aware of this; INTJs have also been known to take it upon themselves to implement critical decisions without consulting their supervisors or co-workers. On the other hand, they do tend to be scrupulous and even-handed about recognizing the individual contributions that have gone into a project, and have a gift for seizing opportunities which others might not even notice.

Btw. The romantic relationship analysis (unfortunately) fits me as well.  lol

A blog article by another INTJ – I randomly came across this blog just a few moments ago and found astonishing similarities between the blogger and me.

Note that according to the MBTI Mannul, 3rd Edition, INTJ turned out to be the most rare personality type among US females (0.8% of all female population). And Kelvin happens to be an INFJ, the most rare type for male (1.3% of all male). The probability of us meeting and getting to know each other is somewhere close to 0.8% times 1.3%. Interesting =)

Last weekend, I spent two days visiting the three universities, Princeton, Harvard, and MIT. It was a fun trip, better than the last time when I went to visit Stanford. By now, I have visited all of my dream grad schools, I’m proud of myself =). I loved the Princeton campus, astonishingly beautiful; however, I loved the city of Boston just as much.

I met some very interesting people in along my trip, including, but not limited to: two brilliant guys in connection with the UN, a British girl who ended up inviting me to Cambridge,  and an extremely young, bright, and cute Physics PHD student at Harvard.  I consider myself very lucky and my loner trips are always full of surprises. These experiences are also one of the main reasons why I became obsessed with the concepts of uncertainty and randomness, as I always wonder WHAT have drawn these various people into my world.

I’m very fond of the book, the Secret, despite that a good friend of mine has tried to argue that the book is full of BS. I know that the book is not entirely true, but the idea/theory behind it is something that I have always had a strong faith in since a very young age, long before when the book came to life. And I want to explore, though Mathematics,  the force of universe that rules our lives, seriously. Well, this is going to be the topic of most of my blog entries.

I’m not keen on pictures so I don’t have many to share. And out of the few I have, none of them is good =S. (My bluetooth is not working so I uploaded the pics from MMS, which could explain their size and quality.)  Well, the real scenes look a LOT better. I will take better ones next time when I go with Kelvin =P




There is a Way

Posted: July 30, 2010 by gwopdn in _

You say love is just a word, just four letters in a row.
Just a thing that people say, or they never tell you so.
And you use every excuse, to let nobody in.
Now this cloud you bring around, has become your only friend.

And everybody saying that it’s going to go away, but it don’t go.
And everybody’s telling you one day it’s going to change,
but you don’t know, if it’s really going to end.
But there is a way, there is a spark,
there is a hope that you can hold on to.
There is a lifeline come to the rescue,
just like a hand that’s waiting for you.
And if you believe in this I promise that you won’t be alone.
There is a way, the truth and the life, and the way.